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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Should You Be Worried About Deflation? / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Stathis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast month, I followed up on a discussion I began in over a year ago as to why hyperinflation would be a very unlikely scenario in the U.S.

In summary, this devastating scenario is a virtual impossibility despite the printing frenzy by the Fed because the banks have held onto most of this newly printed currency, keeping it out of the hands of consumers. (1) I discussed this fact over a year ago when I first debunked the deflation myth. (2) 

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Economics

Friday, October 22, 2010

Economic Depression Within the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy James Quinn, Contributor, The Casey Report : Regular Casey Report contributor James Quinn is the head of strategic planning for one of the world's most prestigious business schools and the host of TheBurningPlatform.com blog. In this article, he is presenting historical indicators that may tell us what’s in store for the U.S. economy. 

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Economics

Friday, October 22, 2010

UK Public Sector Spending Cuts Impact on Deficit, Debt, Unemployment and Economy / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Coalition Government on Tuesday (21st Oct) translated it's proposed spending cuts total of £81 billion over the next 4 years into a break down of which public sector departments will bare the weight of the cuts, whilst at the same time trying to persuade the population that the austerity measures have been spread across all income groups.

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Economics

Friday, October 22, 2010

QE2 and the Alleged Deflation Threat / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe markets and financial pundits are all abuzz over the prospect of another round of quantitative easing — "QE2" — in which the Fed may start buying yet another trillion dollars in assets after the elections. The justification for this massive bout of new inflation is, of course, the threat of deflation.

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Economics

Friday, October 22, 2010

The U.S. Dollar is Doomed, High Inflation then Hyper-Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAusterity be damned, at this rate Mr. Bernanke will go down in the history books as one of the greatest money creators ever to have walked this planet! 

Never mind sky-high deficits and a crushing debt overhang, at its most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve all but guaranteed another round of quantitative easing.

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Economics

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Global Economic Decoupling Alive and Well / Economics / Global Economy

By: Neeraj_Chaudhary

While the US economy continues to weaken (see my recent commentary: Don't Doubt the Double-Dip), many foreign economies continue to experience solid -- even spectacular -- economic growth. When the global economic crisis began in 2008, many forecasters doubted that the world economy could return to growth without the US consumer. But the world is learning what Peter Schiff has long predicted: that the US consumer is a drag on the world economy, not an engine for growth. As "decoupling" becomes more apparent, emerging economies are forming trade links among themselves, accelerating the process of decline for the United States.

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Economics

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Joseph Stiglitz Nobel Prize Winning Economist is the High Priest of the Keynesianism / Economics / US Debt

By: Brady_Willett

Joseph Stiglitz is a Columbia University Professor and a Nobel Prize-winning economist. He extolled the wisdom of Keynesianism on Bloomberg yesterday (video):

"Just think about it. Right now the government can borrow at zero to...two and half percent. And there are so many investments yielding returns of 10, 15, 20% - if you don't make these investments you are really robbing your children."

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Economics

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Great Economic i-Depression 2.0, U.S. Jobs Reality / Economics / Great Depression II

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I listen to pundits, politicians and populists expound on the jobs situation in our country day after day, as if they knew what they were talking about, I'm reminded of the Seinfeld episode where George quits his job as a real estate agent. He sits in Jerry's apartment and ponders whether he could become the general manager of the Yankees, a sportscaster, getting paid to watch movies, or a talk show host. After the discussion with Jerry, he realizes that he has absolutely no skills that are transferable to another career. Everyone in America would like to be the General Manager of the Yankees or get paid for watching movies, but that isn't how it works in the real world.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Foreclosure Madness, Securitization Meltdown, U.S. Great Depression Written into Law / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US economy is being SHUTDOWN at a rapid rate by the radical Marxists in the beltway, whom having never met a businessman that they like other than those who pay political tolls -- known as campaign contributions – consider the rest of the WEALTH generating private sector to be the proverbial red headed step child.  Ripe for abuse…

As the denizens of the beltway do a Jack-the-RIPPER on the economy to SAVE you, runaway regulation and taxation have now killed wealth creation in the G7.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Huge Rise in U.S. Unemployment Expected After Mid-Term Elections / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this month Gallup released a survey that showed unemployment rose .8% to 10.1%

Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 10.1% in September -- up sharply from 9.3% in August and 8.9% in July. Much of this increase came during the second half of the month -- the unemployment rate was 9.4% in mid-September -- and therefore is unlikely to be picked up in the government's unemployment report on Friday.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

U.S. Debt and Deficits, Learning from Canada's Experience / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are those who say the US is doomed, that there is no way out from our problems with deficits, future entitlement promises, and a dysfunctional political system. And in my darker moments I worry that they are right.

I get the problems, probably more than most. But there is a way out. Hopefully, it does not entail collapse first, as some suggest. But it will require a lot of hard decisions. Some will be very hard.

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Economics

Monday, October 18, 2010

Financial Markets Expect QE2 to Result in Higher Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation expectations, measured as the difference between nominal 10-year Treasury note yield and yield on the 10-year inflation protected security, has moved from a low of 1.49% on August 24, just prior to the August 27 Bernanke speech, to 2.09% as of October 15. The upward trend of inflation expectations is a vote of confidence about the success of QE2. Actual inflation, based on personal consumption expenditure price index, the Fed's preferred measure, moved up 1.47% in August on a year-to-year basis (see chart 2).

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Economics

Monday, October 18, 2010

U.S. Industrial Production Unexpectedly Drops; Where to From Here? / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn yet another sign of a weakening economy, Production in U.S. Unexpectedly Dropped in September

Output at factories, mines and utilities fell 0.2 percent, the first decline since the recession ended in June 2009, figures from the Federal Reserve showed today. Factory production also decreased 0.2 percent, reflecting declines in consumer durable goods, like appliances and furniture.

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Economics

Monday, October 18, 2010

Putting Austrian Business-Cycle Theory to the Test / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Paul Krugman is despairing of late, because a growing number of mainstream economists are adopting (versions of) Austrian business-cycle theory. The most recent convert is Minneapolis Fed president Narayana Kocherlakota.

Krugman uses the occasion to criticize what he derides as "the hangover theory" of economic slumps, in which high unemployment is necessary after an artificial boom. As happened with his earlier criticism of "the hangover theory," here too Krugman buttresses his Keynesian logic with a misguided appeal to the data.

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Economics

Monday, October 18, 2010

Cutting the Payroll Tax Will Kick-start the U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

On Friday,  Fed chairman Ben Bernanke made the case for a second round of quantitative easing (QE) claiming that inflation is presently "too low" to achieve the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and full employment.  By purchasing long-term Treasuries, Bernanke hopes to lower bond yields and force investors into riskier assets. That, in turn, will push stocks higher making investors feel wealthier and more apt to boost spending. (re: "trickle down") When investors increase spending, it reduces the slack in the economy and lowers unemployment. Thus, QE is intended to divert investment to where it is needed and to lift the economy out of the doldrums.

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