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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Gold and Silver Hit By Strong U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The dollar continued its upward path against the major currencies this week, and gold and silver prices suffered accordingly. The bears have maintained the upper hand, as shown in the following charts of Comex prices and Open Interest.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Gold's Fundamental Supply Picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Richard_Mills

Demand

Global gold demand was 964t in Q2 2014, significantly reduced from the record high in Q2 2013.

ETF outflows slowed sharply.

Central Banks continued to buy gold for the 14th consecutive quarter in Q2 2014. CB's purchased 118t in Q2 2014 up 28% over Q2 2013. The announcement of a fourth CBGA in the second quarter also reiterated that sales will not be forthcoming from some of the largest holders.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Silver Price and Powerful Forces / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Example 1:  When a golfer hits a shot to the green he often yells “sit” as he orders the ball to slow or stop near the flag.  Even professionals indulge in this bit of satisfying self-delusion.  However, the ball responds to powerful forces, such as wind, the undulations of the green, its own momentum, and gravity.

Example 2:  A mother demands that her teenage son clean his room.  Instead he responds to powerful forces, such as testosterone surges, cute girls, and teenage rebellion.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Gold Bug Psychology Must be Neutered / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

The precious metals bear market, beginning with silver’s blow out in early 2011 and the general top in the commodity and ‘inflation trade’ along with gold’s lesser blow out later that summer amidst Euro crisis hysterics, has been all about psychology.  Well, every bear or bull market is about psychology, but the intensity of this dynamic has been something to behold in the gold sector over these last few years.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Marc Faber Warns Not to Hold Any Gold in the U.S. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Dr Marc Faber has again urged people in the world to be diversified, own physical gold and to be their own central bank.

In another fascinating interview with Bloomberg, Dr. Marc Faber covered Japan's massive QE experiment, the slump in oil prices and the importance of diversification and owning physical gold.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

The Silver Mining Cartel  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The silence of the precious metals producers in the face of blatant, ongoing, illegal, and seemingly never ending price suppression has been deafening.  How could the primary gold and silver producers sit by and watch as the price of their product is fixed by an illegal pricing mechanism? 

But just when it seemed it couldn't be any darker, we got a glimpse of the dawn. 

Last month Keith Neumeyer, the celebrated CEO of First Majestic, changed the game. He made a shocking and graceful statement that should cause shock waves to reverberate across the sector. 

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Gold and Silver Bear Markets Close to the Bottom but Not There Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The selloff in precious metals intensified over the past week. GDXJ declined 25% in seven days while Gold plunged below $1180 to $1140 and Silver plunged below $16 and to as low as $15.20. Precious metals are becoming extremely oversold and the bear market is clearly in the 9th inning. Be on alert for a snapback rally to repair the extreme oversold conditions. Although we are likely very close to the bottom in the miners, Gold’s current position continues to leave me skeptical. 

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Silver Price Extremes! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Investmentscore.com

To identify “buying opportunities” in “extreme” situations, we identify historical extreme situations and use them for a benchmark. Provided that a correction occurs in an active bull market, the insights from this kind of analysis can be very helpful.

Most should agree that the credit crisis was a major economic event that pushed nearly all assets down to an extreme low. We have used this kind of extraordinary market action as a comparison for the current commodities correction.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

$80 Crude Oil Price is the New Normal Minimum / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: The_Energy_Report

Saudi Arabia has nothing to do with falling prices at the pump, argues Bob Moriarty. He sees falling demand as the culprit, driven by economic slowdown in China, Europe and the U.S. In this interview with The Energy Report, Moriarty explains why increased consumer spending won't solve our problems, and discusses why he's still a fan of North American energy stocks—even though he hates shale oil.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Why the Saudis are Fighting a Losing Battle Over Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: For the second time in a month, Saudi Arabia has grabbed the headlines in the oil markets. The kingdom is cutting prices again in its global oil feud.

In its latest version, Saudi Aramco (the national oil company) has restored an earlier price cut to Asia, but reduced its price to U.S customers.

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Commodities

Friday, November 07, 2014

Could Gold Stocks Bottom at 2008 Credit Crisis Low Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The commodity equities are selling off as The Fed halts QE3. However, we are reaching oversold levels and support areas where short covering could soon begin. Commodities, metals and the junior miners are hitting multi year lows and falling below 2008 credit crisis levels. This crash is not based on fundamentals only on an artificially inflated dollar due to Yen and Euro weakness.

This is not a time to panic but continue to accumulate as the bear market may be reaching the final capitulation stage. This decline may be a sign that the quantitative easing may have lifted stock market indices, but it did little to improve demand and growth in the economy reflected by demand for energy and metals.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 06, 2014

The Driving Force Behind the US Oil Boom / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

The shale revolution’s sweet spot is oilfield services, the lower-risk backbone of the American oil and gas boom that pays off regardless of a play’s economics.

Behind the stardom of the explorers and producers who have put themselves on the revolutionary shale map and absorb most of the risk—are the service providers who make up a highly lucrative market segment.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 06, 2014

U.S. Mint Sells Out of Silver Eagle Coins as Buying Surges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The gulf between the physical precious metals markets and the paper or electronic gold and silver markets is growing again and risks becoming as broad as it has ever been. Demand for gold and particularly silver bullion has been very high across the world in recent weeks. 

The sharp price falls in recent days has led to even greater demand and concerns about supply and rising bullion premiums. Now the U.S. Mint is sold out and the Canadian Mint is rationing supplies.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 06, 2014

The Swiss Gold Initiative and Why it May Affect Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

The people of Switzerland go to the polls on 30th November to vote on the gold initiative. The proposal requires the Swiss National Bank to hold gold reserves of at least 20% of the value of the assets of the Swiss National Bank. The initiative also wants no further gold sales by the SNB and all Swiss Gold to be stored in Switzerland.

If the yes vote is successful then they would be required to buy 1500 tons of gold over a period of five years, in order to achieve the 20% target. This acquisition would then be held indefinitely as they would not be allowed to sell it. However, in the case of a yes vote, the referendum would still have to run the gauntlet in the Swiss parliament in order to gain ratification.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 06, 2014

Crude Oil, Gold, Are Commodity Price at a Major Turning Point? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Toby_Connor

As most of you probably know, I have been expecting the CRB to form a major three year cycle low sometime next summer. However, I'm now starting to see some things that might indicate a major cycle bottom is going to occur earlier than I expected.

Since oil is the main driver of the CRB, and most commodities will follow its lead, I'm going to focus on the action in oil. Notice in the next chart that oil has now reached oversold levels similar to, if not more extreme than, the previous two 3 year cycle lows.

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